BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Basketball

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

N Illinois

Class: 1 Class Rank: 300 Overall: (7-23) Overall Strength =   21.39
Conference: Mid-American Record: (4-13) | District: 1-02 Record: (7-22)

 N Date       Location  C D  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent               Resid M Predict
 1 11-03-2025 Away    L   *  14.07  56  77    1 178 (15-16) Southern Miss          -6.84    -14.16                      
 2 11-07-2025 Home    L   *   7.02  65  76    1 307 ( 8-24) WI Milwaukee          -13.90      2.90                      
 3 11-11-2025 Home    L   *  20.17  50  68    1  99 (26- 6) W Illinois             -0.74    -17.26                      
 4 11-13-2025 Away    L   *  23.08  55  66    1 197 (14-18) IL Chicago              2.17    -13.17                      
 5 11-21-2025 Away    W   *  48.20  49  30    1 248 (16-16) SIUE                   27.29     -8.29                      
 6 11-24-2025 Home    W   *  19.65  67  57    1 348 ( 9-23) Chicago St             -1.27     11.27                      
 7 11-30-2025 Away    L   *  15.01  52  65    1 258 (10-25) Evansville             -5.91     -7.09                      
 8 12-03-2025 Away    L   *  15.35  61  69    1 305 (10-22) Indiana St             -5.57     -2.43                      
 9 12-07-2025 Away    L       7.24  52 105    1  36 (22-10) Iowa St               -13.68 *  -39.32                      
10 12-14-2025 Away    L   *  16.76  44  67    1 132 (21-14) PFW                    -4.16    -18.84                      
11 12-20-2025 Away    L * *   3.24  51  89    1 126 (18-12) Central Michigan      -17.68    -20.32                      
12 12-29-2025 Away    L   *  14.74  46  64    1 209 (16-16) St Thomas MN           -6.17    -11.83                      
13 01-03-2026 Home    L * *  24.10  56  74    1  78 (26- 7) Ball St                 3.18    -21.18                      
14 01-07-2026 Away    W * *  28.93  64  58    1 310 ( 3-27) Buffalo                 8.01     -2.01                      
15 01-10-2026 Home    L * *  12.93  48  65    1 188 (17-14) Bowling Green          -7.99     -9.01                      
16 01-14-2026 Away    L * *  17.27  49  70    1 154 (17-15) Toledo                 -3.65    -17.35                      
17 01-17-2026 Away    L * *  32.75  62  66    1 161 (18-14) Ohio                   11.84    -15.84                      
18 01-21-2026 Home    W * *  30.49  64  56    1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan        9.57     -1.57                      
19 01-24-2026 Away    L * *  24.28  62  72    1 192 (13-16) Eastern Michigan        3.36    -13.36                      
20 01-28-2026 Home    L * *  12.91  43  71    1  80 (28- 7) Miami OH               -8.01    -19.99                      
21 01-31-2026 Home    L * *  30.87  70  75    1 126 (18-12) Central Michigan        9.95    -14.95                      
22 02-04-2026 Away    L * *  12.48  48  83    1  78 (26- 7) Ball St                -8.44    -26.56                      
23 02-07-2026 Home    W   *  26.03  71  69    1 253 (11-19) Texas St                5.12     -3.12                      
24 02-10-2026 Home    L   *  16.81  54  75    1 106 (23- 7) Massachusetts          -4.11    -16.89                      
25 02-14-2026 Home    L * *  13.12  68  75 1  1 301 ( 7-24) Akron                  -7.80      0.80                      
26 02-18-2026 Away    L * *  34.40  67  70    1 173 (15-16) Kent                   13.48    -16.48                      
27 02-21-2026 Away    L * *  22.86  60  65    1 265 ( 9-20) Western Michigan        1.94     -6.94                      
28 02-28-2026 Home    W * *  37.91  70  61    1 192 (13-16) Eastern Michigan       16.99     -7.99                      
29 03-04-2026 Home    W * *  20.56  56  53    1 310 ( 3-27) Buffalo                -0.36      3.36                      
30 03-07-2026 Away    L * *  24.30  66  77    1 188 (17-14) Bowling Green           3.38    -14.38                      
      Averages              20.92  57.5 68.9

Best game:   48.20 = 19 point win over SIUE
Worst game:   3.24 = 38 point loss to C Michigan
Team stdev:   9.88